Thursday, February 26, 2009

So many polls, so little consistency

Here are the most recent public opinion poll results for El Salvador's upcoming presidential election. All these results were released in the last two days:

Borge y Asociados - El Diario de Hoy

Rodrigo Ávila - Arena: 40.9%
Mauricio Funes - FMLN: 40.0%

CIOPS - UTEC

Rodrigo Ávila - Arena: 48.9%
Mauricio Funes - FMLN: 50.5%

CID-Gallup

Rodrigo Ávila - Arena: 36%
Mauricio Funes - FMLN: 42%

Universidad Gavidia

Rodrigo Ávila - Arena: 36%
Mauricio Funes - FMLN: 42%

IUDOP - UCA

Rodrigo Ávila - Arena: 31%
Mauricio Funes - FMLN: 49%

In addition, two polls from last week:

Jabes - Diario El Mundo

Rodrigo Ávila - Arena: 40%
Mauricio Funes - FMLN: 37%

CS-SONDEA

Rodrigo Ávila - Arena: 30.1%
Mauricio Funes - FMLN: 41.3%


Thanks to Solava for his help on this post.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

from personal experience i would utterly disregard any polls, news, comments, reports or editorials made or published by el diario de hoy, simply for the sake of accuracy.

Anonymous said...

For the sake of accuracy, we should wait until the salvadoran people have cast their vote.

The Amigos Millonarios de Mauricio will have contracted the mercenary polls, and so might have avila.

so just you wait for the vote casting. But rest assured that whoever is eleceted will not have a mandate amply supported by large number of votes in his favour.

Anonymous said...

Nothing else matters but the people's vote.

That's it.

Anonymous said...

Also to add, trying to "scientifically guess" what human beings may or may not do will never result in an accuracy.

Humans are funny creatures, we change our minds at random.

Anonymous said...

I would like to remind Salvadorean
out of the country to call their families, as I just read the news that ARENA is bringing people in from Nicaragua and Honduras by truckloads to cast their illegal ballots (fraud is on the horizon)
CALL YOUR SALVADOREAN FAMILIES TO CAST A VOTE FOR FMLN FOR A CHANGE.

A Salvadorean in Canada.