Recently two public opinion polls were released which asked voters which political party they were planning to vote for in the March 2009 presidential elections. Here were the results:
Poll by TCS
Undecided/refused to answer 43%
Poll by La Prensa Gráfica,
Other/no answer 56.6%
If you have been following political public opinion polls over the past 5 or so years in El Salvador, these numbers will look pretty familiar. The results for ARENA and the FMLN represent each party's hard core support. These are the persons who are going to vote for that party's candidate no matter who it is and no matter what else happens before election day. But the biggest segment, up until shortly before the election is always the undecided segment.
Obviously the biggest thing people will want to know -- who will be the candidates of each party and will there be any viable candidates other than the ones put forward by ARENA and the FMLN? ARENA has announced that it plans to select its candidate through a nationwide primary selecting among three candidates. But there have not been many indications about who those candidates might be. It's safe to say the candidate won't vary in any material ways from the policies of Tony Saca.
On the left, the momentum is increasing for Mauricio Funes to be the candidate of the FMLN. In fact, no one else seems to be getting any support within the ranks of FMLN leaders. Because of this, Megavision television network has announced that its contract with Funes for his morning interview show will end sometime this month. Megavision asserts that Funes has become too much of a partisan political figure and that is inconsistent with the role of the network in provide the news in a nonpartisan fashion. This week Funes met with Lula, the popular moderate leftist president of Brazil.